TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Leopoldo: Murkel Dellien vs Paulo Dos Santos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paulo Dos Santosof Murkel Dellien, Paulo Dos Santos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5af…f9e3backed Murkel Dellien24c2,570$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.7430225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Paulo Dos Santos29c2,403$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.4239431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Paulo Dos Santos65c1,885$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.422,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Murkel Dellien44c1,558$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.512,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Murkel Dellien7c1,484$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.869737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Paulo Dos Santos70c1,192$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.694,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Paulo Dos Santos39c901.64$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Murkel Dellien25c897.26$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.632,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Murkel Dellien40c675.09$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.411,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Murkel Dellien24c456.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.662,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Murkel Dellien77c455.62$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8360856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Murkel Dellien65c416.04$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.287,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Murkel Dellien44c406.41$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.738,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Paulo Dos Santos48c399.63$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Murkel Dellien79c389.97$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0735268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Murkel Dellien61c344.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.773,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Paulo Dos Santos23c286.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4230715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Murkel Dellien77c273.05$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Murkel Dellien77c273.05$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.850156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Paulo Dos Santos54c268.6$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.71,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Paulo Dos Santos42c264.95$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5927231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Paulo Dos Santos75c264.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0923761.6%146 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Murkel Dellien39c257.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.616,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Murkel Dellien76c257.17$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.513,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Murkel Dellien70c253.87$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.192,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Murkel Dellien77c247.22$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.421,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paulo Dos Santos24c218.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Paulo Dos Santos21c194.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8753544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Murkel Dellien45c187.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1264537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Murkel Dellien66c184.35$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.381,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Paulo Dos Santos26c183.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9935951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Murkel Dellien45c179.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.086,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Paulo Dos Santos24c176.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1915928.9%46 W · 113 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Murkel Dellien24c171$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0467836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Murkel Dellien19c167.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.271,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Murkel Dellien21c125.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.336836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Murkel Dellien44c125.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4995846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Murkel Dellien80c123.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.810474%77 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Murkel Dellien78c119.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.311,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Paulo Dos Santos44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59c…e578backed Murkel Dellien71c108.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.312369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Murkel Dellien63c105$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.151,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Paulo Dos Santos80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014272.5%103 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd123…8494backed Murkel Dellien49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.475036%18 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paulo Dos Santos31c98.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.578,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Murkel Dellien78c89.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.715658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Paulo Dos Santos35c88.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.312,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Paulo Dos Santos22c87.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3655660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Paulo Dos Santos25c83.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0112831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Paulo Dos Santos22c82.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4548650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Paulo Dos Santos42c79.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.052,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Paulo Dos Santos75c76.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.926,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Paulo Dos Santos21c76.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.229958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Murkel Dellien55c76.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.841,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Paulo Dos Santos39c75.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.814,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Murkel Dellien56c64.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.937363%46 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Paulo Dos Santos39c61.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.671747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Paulo Dos Santos24c59.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3316957.4%97 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Paulo Dos Santos43c58.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0245051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Murkel Dellien44c56.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.972,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Paulo Dos Santos34c56.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2921149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Paulo Dos Santos22c56.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0225756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paulo Dos Santos43c56.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.187,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Paulo Dos Santos22c52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.564544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Paulo Dos Santos21c51.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.071,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Paulo Dos Santos22c51.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4350259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Murkel Dellien49c51.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1881457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed Paulo Dos Santos23c48.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.683650%18 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Paulo Dos Santos22c47.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1732843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Murkel Dellien66c47.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.948968.5%61 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Paulo Dos Santos28c47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.847,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7375…d8d4backed Paulo Dos Santos53c45.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.565244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe129…b86cbacked Murkel Dellien49c44.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.772951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Murkel Dellien35c43.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Paulo Dos Santos26c41.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.649,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Paulo Dos Santos33c40.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.943554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Murkel Dellien64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.669253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Murkel Dellien55c35.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2727552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Murkel Dellien73c33.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4215261.2%93 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Murkel Dellien77c32.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6513338.3%51 W · 82 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Murkel Dellien79c29.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0430555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Paulo Dos Santos60c29.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2215…6ecfbacked Murkel Dellien74c28.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.321241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b5…90e0backed Paulo Dos Santos49c27.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.132445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Murkel Dellien67c26.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.639845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked Murkel Dellien61c23.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.439354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Murkel Dellien79c23.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4841658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Murkel Dellien79c23.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4839955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Paulo Dos Santos47c21.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.444,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Murkel Dellien65c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.653928.2%11 W · 28 L-8.0wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x926c…5d40backed Paulo Dos Santos70c19.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.86566.2%43 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb347…def1backed Murkel Dellien80c14.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.86475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.