TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10b5…90e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Anna-Lena Friedsambacked Jule Niemeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.67
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$19.77
Sarasota: Strong Kirchheimer vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.25
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Volynets vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$7.09
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$13.9
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53%+$8.89
San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$51.27
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+292.4%+$114.52
Sao Leopoldo: Murkel Dellien vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.13
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.09
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$32.31
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$24.96
Barletta: Henri Squire vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$28.94
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.26
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Copa Colsanitas: Francesca Jones vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.47
Miami Open, Qualification: Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$75.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.