TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Anna-Lena Friedsam

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anna-Lena Friedsamof Jule Niemeier, Anna-Lena Friedsam
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9367…f6bebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam54c15,265$8,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.34623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Anna-Lena Friedsam56c12,055$6,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,268.049,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Jule Niemeier26c10,881$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.4311053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jule Niemeier43c4,426$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.47,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Jule Niemeier44c3,157$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.1550731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam74c2,300$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.352,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Anna-Lena Friedsam56c2,001$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.284,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Anna-Lena Friedsam52c1,249$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.3297745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Jule Niemeier48c1,191$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.461,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Jule Niemeier3c941.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.230715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Jule Niemeier40c910.74$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.561,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Jule Niemeier49c493$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jule Niemeier43c484.63$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Jule Niemeier22c428.47$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.549341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Jule Niemeier45c364$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.838955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jule Niemeier44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Jule Niemeier31c296.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.671,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd050…3f88backed Anna-Lena Friedsam52c252.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc469…faa7backed Jule Niemeier48c248.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Jule Niemeier47c201.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7921638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Jule Niemeier44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8864346.2%297 W · 346 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jule Niemeier43c199.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.991,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jule Niemeier44c199$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.567,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Jule Niemeier15c195.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4125756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Anna-Lena Friedsam52c194.27$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.257,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Jule Niemeier45c191.16$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.469843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Jule Niemeier48c184.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.757350.7%37 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Anna-Lena Friedsam60c184.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.231,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Jule Niemeier46c183$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.188848.9%43 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b5…90e0backed Jule Niemeier28c177.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.672445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Jule Niemeier62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.464365.9%424 W · 219 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Anna-Lena Friedsam61c162.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6718459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Jule Niemeier64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.841,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam61c143.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8312359.3%73 W · 50 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam79c117.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8336944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Jule Niemeier40c113.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2648650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Anna-Lena Friedsam45c103.7$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.716,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb518…3403backed Jule Niemeier59c102.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4714060%84 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Jule Niemeier48c98.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5250259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jule Niemeier55c98.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.51,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Anna-Lena Friedsam68c97.69$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.523,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Jule Niemeier37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.611041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Anna-Lena Friedsam54c91.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.151,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam60c89.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.892352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jule Niemeier38c84.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.172,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Anna-Lena Friedsam79c79.54$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.780153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9233…b93abacked Jule Niemeier16c77.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1614…64cdbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam67c69.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.05580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2035…679dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam72c68.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.122070%14 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3717…e6dcbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam63c62.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.061573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Jule Niemeier49c60.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6538754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam49c59.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.715644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Anna-Lena Friedsam57c59.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.285,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Jule Niemeier44c55.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.745051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam74c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.343558.6%255 W · 180 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Jule Niemeier46c50.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4133048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jule Niemeier46c50.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.273,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Anna-Lena Friedsam50c50.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.344259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Anna-Lena Friedsam74c50.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Anna-Lena Friedsam73c46.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.551,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Anna-Lena Friedsam72c42.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0165952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Jule Niemeier46c39.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.331,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Jule Niemeier47c39.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6536135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7297…99a2backed Anna-Lena Friedsam43c38.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb1…c96ebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam36c34.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam40c34.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.687,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jule Niemeier39c33.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.973,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam59c32.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5357052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc25c…f6dfbacked Jule Niemeier64c30.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.575145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Anna-Lena Friedsam72c28.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam49c28.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.572642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Anna-Lena Friedsam64c27.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0340548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Anna-Lena Friedsam54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Anna-Lena Friedsam60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7633557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jule Niemeier54c24.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.012,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Jule Niemeier49c21.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2870148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Anna-Lena Friedsam75c20.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.049859.2%58 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Anna-Lena Friedsam58c20.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4510471.2%74 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed Anna-Lena Friedsam54c19.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.954957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam74c16.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3216757.5%96 W · 71 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam76c14.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.386454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Anna-Lena Friedsam72c14.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam72c14.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.