Stocks · resolved market
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d4fbe0c7c94b6223b5494e9af9678f79adbabb5a4dcd92da83328812502cab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 76c | 14,760$11,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 79c | 8,154$6,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 31c | 7,373$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 22c | 6,692$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3121…dec8backed No | 28c | 5,138$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed Yes | 68c | 4,018$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…4f13backed No | 1c | 3,982$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…bd9fbacked No | 21c | 3,517$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed Yes | 52c | 2,627$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0237…e7b2backed Yes | 66c | 2,354$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 49c | 2,181$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 21c | 2,010$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…fa0dbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed No | 55c | 1,446$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…c84dbacked No | 37c | 945.21$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 40c | 900.97$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed No | 35c | 850.71$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 61c | 818.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 71c | 757.94$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 6c | 748.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…5579backed No | 47c | 643.07$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed No | 43c | 636.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…1fd2backed No | 34c | 591.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…3a44backed Yes | 61c | 574.87$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes | 34c | 559.2$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 49c | 546.94$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 16c | 536.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 33c | 529.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…03c2backed No | 40c | 505.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…467ebacked No | 42c | 478.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 75c | 465.84$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 37c | 455.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…acedbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…1cb8backed Yes | 60c | 399.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…c795backed No | 38c | 396.79$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…c147backed No | 53c | 370.75$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…9169backed Yes | 26c | 368.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +279.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 50c | 368.18$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 52c | 354.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…4a85backed No | 38c | 350$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed No | 47c | 338.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…5b30backed No | 50c | 336$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…f7c5backed No | 47c | 298$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…3f36backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…72afbacked No | 41c | 287$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…203ebacked No | 35c | 280.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 62c | 279.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…00f9backed No | 75c | 269.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…df10backed No | 29c | 255$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 54c | 253.16$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…8a0fbacked Yes | 49c | 245$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…54ecbacked No | 41c | 244.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619f…eb40backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 41c | 241.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…fabdbacked Yes | 52c | 237.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed No | 30c | 222.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 16c | 220.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…067ebacked Yes | 47c | 218.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…54b7backed No | 46c | 217.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 69c | 207.72$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0d…835bbacked No | 40c | 204.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 41c | 201.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…6958backed No | 51c | 196.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Yes | 55c | 186.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 49c | 179.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 50c | 176.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…83a8backed No | 58c | 172.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…346abacked Yes | 52c | 170$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…532fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…3bfdbacked No | 70c | 156.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 67c | 149.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…6c8abacked No | 68c | 146.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…f4c4backed No | 70c | 142.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…36f4backed No | 41c | 139.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…433cbacked No | 8c | 138.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 45c | 136.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192b…a3fcbacked No | 60c | 129.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b19…83c4backed No | 36c | 122.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 49c | 122$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c8…9b31backed Yes | 73c | 116.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 55c | 114.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…dda2backed No | 31c | 113.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…63bcbacked No | 31c | 112.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…1197backed No | 36c | 112.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…2326backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…1ee5backed Yes | 23c | 109.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…e9bebacked No | 69c | 109.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…8aa5backed No | 49c | 102.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4396…f0e1backed No | 59c | 101.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 100.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…129ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…8ae6backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 38c | 89.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.