Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53abce785907c957334957ac4971667cc673b6d10592308b63519c19e6297ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Saski Baskonia, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Saski Baskonia | 60c | 13,278$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joventut | 45c | 10,332$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,641.4 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Saski Baskonia | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joventut | 39c | 4,321$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.93 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Joventut | 62c | 2,586$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Joventut | 44c | 2,508$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.89 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Joventut | 32c | 2,178$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.38 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Joventut | 64c | 1,507$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.97 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Joventut | 39c | 1,216$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joventut | 39c | 894.08$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.39 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Saski Baskonia | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Joventut | 45c | 570$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Joventut | 37c | 559.65$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.43 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saski Baskonia | 35c | 519.48$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Saski Baskonia | 34c | 421.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Saski Baskonia | 48c | 404.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Joventut | 58c | 404.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Saski Baskonia | 40c | 382.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joventut | 46c | 375.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…ba8bbacked Saski Baskonia | 60c | 354.03$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…c29bbacked Saski Baskonia | 61c | 307.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Joventut | 66c | 301.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Saski Baskonia | 78c | 270$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joventut | 41c | 259.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Saski Baskonia | 34c | 258.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Joventut | 39c | 251.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Saski Baskonia | 71c | 224.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joventut | 39c | 222.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Saski Baskonia | 21c | 208$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Joventut | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Saski Baskonia | 72c | 201.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…8e87backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 197.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Saski Baskonia | 24c | 169.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…c4b9backed Joventut | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia | 61c | 158$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Saski Baskonia | 44c | 152.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Saski Baskonia | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Saski Baskonia | 71c | 141.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…612fbacked Saski Baskonia | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Saski Baskonia | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Saski Baskonia | 71c | 139.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 133.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Joventut | 31c | 125.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Saski Baskonia | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Joventut | 39c | 99.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Saski Baskonia | 32c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Joventut | 26c | 94.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Joventut | 60c | 89.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1c…4f42backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 84.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Joventut | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Saski Baskonia | 35c | 75.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Joventut | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Joventut | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Joventut | 45c | 69.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Joventut | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…c5c6backed Saski Baskonia | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Saski Baskonia | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 63.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Joventut | 39c | 61.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Saski Baskonia | 72c | 54.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…6ce7backed Joventut | 77c | 51.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Saski Baskonia | 38c | 45.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 40.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Saski Baskonia | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Joventut | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Saski Baskonia | 61c | 32.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Joventut | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Joventut | 41c | 30.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Saski Baskonia | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Saski Baskonia | 44c | 24.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…ea8fbacked Saski Baskonia | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Saski Baskonia | 74c | 19.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Saski Baskonia | 73c | 18.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saski Baskonia vs. Joventutthis page
- Spread: Saski Baskonia (-3.5)Joventut won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.