La Liga · resolved market
Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d569a2b58d151d93d5828e2ca60ca71906b0d175b15caf9b23c2f3a8744f96c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 58c | 1,490$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.75 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 34c | 1,227$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 45c | 1,066$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.61 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…1168backed Yes | 33c | 927.17$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 71c | 770.84$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.74 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed No | 64c | 664.33$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 6c | 513.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 70c | 278.84$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 206.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 66c | 180.34$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…2900backed No | 22c | 118.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes | 39c | 116.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Yes | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 71c | 106.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 61c | 104.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 58c | 65.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 64c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf50…5b25backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…c5c6backed Yes | 55c | 39.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked No | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…cf90backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Yes | 38c | 27.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…fbf3backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?this page
- Will Burgos CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will CD Castellon achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Cordoba CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will FC Andorra achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will RC Deportivo de la Coruna achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Racing de Santander achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijon achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will SD Eibar achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.