La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x313fbdeab3b8236a30c262924a0bf1f37e2965bc22a93847b5a6535d57be193b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 60c | 452.84$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.25 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 71c | 378.62$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 63c | 294.03$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 51c | 266.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 39c | 248.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed No | 61c | 197$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 51c | 189.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked No | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 50c | 165.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 38c | 151.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 58c | 119.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 41c | 75.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 49c | 49.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 62c | 24.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…47c5backed No | 52c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?this page
- Will Burgos CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will CD Castellon achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Cordoba CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will FC Andorra achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will RC Deportivo de la Coruna achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Racing de Santander achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijon achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will SD Eibar achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.