TailMyPicks

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La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Deportivo de la Coruna achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3df1…72e7backed No42c1,361$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes51c939.79$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.823151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes79c286.56$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked No45c151.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.261926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes57c98.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2511350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes57c87.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.274141.5%17 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No26c56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked Yes51c26.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No42c25.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-91.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa15e…b801backed Yes79c25.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd05…61d6backed Yes57c21.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0be…caa2backed Yes57c20.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18e…44e3backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.