Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x973f3a132b52b0b590b3371003d4e32b8dd77159423a3a1331c06aa7d715284f

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 2, 2024, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No	36c	17,351$6,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,129.92	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbba…1ac3backed Yes	43c	11,697$5,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,037.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	37c	5,005$1,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,154.2	319	44.5%142 W · 177 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No	54c	4,071$2,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,855.42	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes	57c	3,972$2,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-14.7wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	36c	3,799$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,439.17	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes	63c	3,560$2,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,242.82	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd874…a314backed Yes	64c	3,149$2,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,014.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	38c	3,000$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No	38c	2,002$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.2	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23de…83e5backed Yes	63c	1,587$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e6…6682backed Yes	41c	1,497$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No	35c	1,469$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.82	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No	36c	1,314$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.18	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+10.6wins	+0.19per pick	35cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No	69c	1,195$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.05	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes	32c	1,169$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.45	155	54.8%85 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745b…ff04backed Yes	29c	1,020$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.41	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes	59c	1,019$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-5.9wins	-0.22per pick	48cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No	36c	999.98$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.99	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed No	37c	999.98$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.98	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No	57c	967.64$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.05	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes	66c	850.3$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.2	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes	63c	793.65$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6454…5560backed Yes	15c	685.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No	38c	650.1$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.11	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x738d…4df6backed Yes	63c	629.96$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb2…88cabacked Yes	27c	554.93$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes	49c	551.02$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6484…8864backed Yes	66c	454.55$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes	62c	403.23$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8abf…6d69backed Yes	64c	400$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-3.4wins	-0.34per pick	64cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked No	37c	399.97$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.98	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a0…d338backed Yes	68c	365.94$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes	43c	351.52$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b12…30d8backed Yes	66c	333.33$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdf…c1edbacked Yes	18c	327.78$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324e…1e02backed Yes	64c	326.98$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-55%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked No	38c	319.37$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.12	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes	63c	317.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Yes	64c	312.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb840…d340backed Yes	65c	300$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No	37c	298.95$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.34	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdff…3e7fbacked Yes	54c	298.9$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Yes	64c	280$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.2	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…f213backed No	35c	257.38$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.3	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+64%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No	34c	222.59$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.91	146	59.6%87 W · 59 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	42c	222$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.76	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc2f8…60e3backed No	40c	219.03$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.09	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+235.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes	48c	216.44$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.19	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	25.6%20 W · 58 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed Yes	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No	37c	199.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.99	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4057…03b6backed Yes	63c	199.4$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.62	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f6c…2cb9backed Yes	63c	165.83$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.47	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	65cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	119	37%44 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…aeb9backed Yes	63c	160$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	156	36.5%57 W · 99 L	-11.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01ce…4711backed Yes	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x372d…be4fbacked Yes	63c	158.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	45cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-9.4wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-31%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes	66c	151$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.66	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Yes	65c	150$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7adc…7603backed No	40c	145$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	63c	140$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.87	292	38.4%112 W · 180 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f7…a6b2backed Yes	59c	136.57$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb4d…be5bbacked Yes	66c	136.3$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes	55c	134.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.74	182	32.4%59 W · 123 L	-15.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e62…71f4backed Yes	41c	134.15$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf1…a9b5backed Yes	66c	128.1$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.55	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No	42c	123.35$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.54	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No	32c	109.43$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.91	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed No	39c	107.03$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.03	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…bffebacked No	36c	103.33$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.13	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ae…4407backed Yes	63c	102.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…f634backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	22cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked No	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0692…10fbbacked Yes	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.19per pick	40cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-5.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-33%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x486b…9f23backed Yes	65c	93.78$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.02	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes	65c	92.31$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x501a…d46dbacked Yes	65c	92.29$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-5.0wins	-0.26per pick	53cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1673…e40dbacked No	39c	85.26$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.01	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5342…0f95backed Yes	64c	84.85$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes	63c	81.8$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.43	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1604…21b6backed Yes	64c	81.25$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b5e…91dabacked Yes	64c	80.31$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.4	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.36per pick	47cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	65c	79.17$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.77	233	50.2%117 W · 116 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No	37c	79$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.77	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-9.0wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd27a…12b0backed Yes	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a4…8bdfbacked Yes	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…0ac5backed Yes	53c	75.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f18…36b7backed Yes	64c	71.88$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0205…2555backed Yes	38c	69.03$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.98	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?this page
Will Bournemouth vs. Man City end in a draw?No won
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-02?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event