Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Man City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3347de109d7908bc2d8fdaa723f52e713f6a3885ff5cb1d98b1c2d06be85637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 77c | 503.46$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 71c | 449.82$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 77c | 397.74$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e6…6682backed Yes | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…be4fbacked Yes | 23c | 158.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…beb9backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…5921backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 21c | 85.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…a6b2backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Man City end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-02?Yes won
- Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.