Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf32106a2795cc68b2709cc961a4f2952ebb722f79354698fe29bc888736633
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 19c | 1,627$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.32 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 18c | 1,088$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.42 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 18c | 550.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.08 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 16c | 399.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.98 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Yes | 21c | 378.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.72 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 341.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 38c | 218.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…7f88backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 15c | 199.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed No | 65c | 196.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…f588backed No | 62c | 156.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…a80fbacked Yes | 17c | 149.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…9d1abacked Yes | 40c | 140.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…340abacked Yes | 46c | 138.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Yes | 17c | 133.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +460.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…ef73backed Yes | 17c | 108.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 78c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…0735backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 14c | 77.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 57c | 60.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…87f9backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed No | 67c | 23.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-02?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Man City end in a draw?No won
- Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.