TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes13c33,705$4,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,482.736,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes10c12,740$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.071,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed No65c8,721$5,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.221770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d7a…d80abacked Yes34c5,918$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No67c4,558$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.165349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c4,547$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.961,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c3,960$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.582,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No73c3,834$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.129253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No66c3,036$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.3810148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes5c2,816$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.44,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes36c2,550$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No63c2,217$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c1,923$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.492,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c1,508$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.8684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes36c1,447$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.57742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes36c1,145$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes35c1,127$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c881$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.161,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No64c790.35$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes34c750$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes10c701$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes33c696.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No64c649.44$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.818958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes37c633.95$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23310139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes25c598$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.781010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes18c522.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.371,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No64c507.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.885431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16521839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes36c494$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.841,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No64c477.72$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes34c411$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7411945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No65c359.95$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5826247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No73c289.93$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.257963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No64c275.88$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes33c271.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.621618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c258.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.461,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes36c258.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes36c222.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8035247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…ee97backed Yes34c220$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No65c215.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3829458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes8c207.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.565523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x526d…080abacked Yes36c175$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dd4…ebc4backed Yes37c163$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.311637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes35c160.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1911628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852540%10 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508343.4%36 W · 47 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+73%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503933.3%13 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes37c132.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes35c129.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.422934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff2…81bcbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-74.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…0e65backed Yes11c115.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Yes33c115.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes35c112.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016946.2%78 W · 91 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124022.5%9 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No64c107$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5215764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No64c100.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.151,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101520%3 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.317017.6%30 W · 140 L-27.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e61ebacked Yes21c97.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes37c94.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.78229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308543.5%37 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5c5…eca0backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde29…99c8backed Yes36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972f…ed93backed Yes35c74.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a4e…0fd9backed Yes35c65.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+46%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes33c63.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes23c60.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.991,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes20c58.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126647%31 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fff…9d61backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes34c58.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0515452.6%81 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No64c58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.