Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2668a86aadbedfbea27794808898b1c279b9a086feb600aa703ab05b81e0df2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 4,339$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 3,341$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 78c | 1,434$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.64 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…3ebfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,405$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 71c | 1,301$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.18 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 71c | 1,056$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 816.4$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 752.23$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.15 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 29c | 751.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 29c | 675.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 65c | 590$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 548$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 514$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 77c | 341.21$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 328.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 28c | 291.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 72c | 283.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 36c | 165$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 158.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 149$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 28c | 135.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 71c | 119.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 74c | 95.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…eb6abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…290cbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -11.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…f191backed Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 26c | 49.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…4aabbacked No | 68c | 45.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…9d5dbacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.