Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0227c6711a92358a6e5dab9de8d749ef1b957cccfe8c649ae321a62c2fd02241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 26,300$18,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,023.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 28c | 11,357$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 11,146$8,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.21 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 8,858$6,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.68 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 7,820$5,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.47 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.98 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,855$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 3,674$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.74 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Yes | 19c | 3,116$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,871$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.1 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 2,260$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.44 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,091$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.44 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 28c | 1,977$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.54 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 1,549$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.67 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 1,515$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.88 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 1,410$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.39 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,387$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.03 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 37c | 1,358$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 46c | 1,307$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 19c | 1,300$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 25c | 1,240$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 71c | 1,207$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,201$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 32c | 1,089$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.36 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 44c | 1,022$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.99 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 43c | 1,002$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.93 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 780.65$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 776.38$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.87 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes | 24c | 738.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 31c | 660$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 655.65$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…8f0dbacked Yes | 40c | 642.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed No | 74c | 619.85$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.85 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 29c | 606.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 26c | 592$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 45c | 589.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 40c | 565$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 29c | 558.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +80%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 18c | 557.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 29c | 527.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 525$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.45 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 39c | 493.41$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 55c | 484.81$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 24c | 481.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 45c | 441.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 432.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 35c | 413.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 18c | 382.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 32c | 373.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 26c | 347.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 343.95$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +154%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 29c | 330$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 55c | 321.2$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2e6cbacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 64c | 313.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 18c | 310$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 65c | 299.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Yes | 40c | 280$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 36c | 277.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 28c | 266$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 43c | 242.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…93c6backed Yes | 36c | 224.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3470backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…5388backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 33c | 209.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 208$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 202.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.