Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9058ae0461273a7350b1df11343269853b8b00d037a0ebefc46ab13b33d5ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 53,796$14,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,148.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 33,477$26,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,701.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed No | 67c | 26,567$17,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,799.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 33c | 7,334$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,913.71 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 4,400$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.81 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed No | 72c | 3,822$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 2c | 2,730$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.4 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 2,556$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.38 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 20c | 1,995$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,937$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,826$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.08 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed Yes | 20c | 1,671$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +154%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,446$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.12 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 1,443$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.35 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed No | 44c | 1,241$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 66c | 1,180$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 32c | 1,155$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.25 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 1,128$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.04 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 1,056$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.84 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed No | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 34c | 953.82$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.52 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 929.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.99 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 888.37$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.16 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 790.9$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.81 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 70c | 631.12$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed No | 43c | 583.02$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 58c | 487.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 20c | 380.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 30c | 317.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 31c | 312.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 310$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 18c | 239.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 32c | 220.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 67c | 198.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 71c | 190.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 20c | 187.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 68c | 176$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 66c | 167.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed No | 67c | 152.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 67c | 102.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 33c | 101.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 78c | 94.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 29c | 92.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 87.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 75c | 80.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 29c | 71.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked No | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…10c5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 41c | 62.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 29c | 61.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 34c | 60.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e420backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 45.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf265…348dbacked No | 70c | 45.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 69c | 33.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…e5a1backed Yes | 35c | 33.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…984abacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 21.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…f7b4backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…ff9dbacked No | 67c | 15.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…0dffbacked No | 70c | 14.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.