Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef151aa7851b7d110ea8b3d4592839232e7d75dc99bb111820c146437a8d3346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 14c | 2,407$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 16c | 1,217$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 17c | 1,177$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 1,147$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,141$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 999.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8f…1d91backed Yes | 7c | 815.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 15c | 673.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…b5a8backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 5c | 580$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 15c | 521.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…7fe1backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 17c | 488.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 6c | 430.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 17c | 320$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 17c | 302.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 17c | 299$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…16b1backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…37dabacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 15c | 267.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…bcd2backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1a98backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…ed93backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 17c | 213.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…b6c4backed Yes | 16c | 191.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 191$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…8e8dbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 15c | 150.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed Yes | 16c | 149.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e0c6backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…fe51backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…d8c4backed Yes | 17c | 128.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…6fb4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…9977backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…2fffbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…5c22backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c96…a9febacked Yes | 14c | 106.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 15c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…448fbacked Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 15c | 71.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…0731backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…04b3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…cb10backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.