Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1df0fa008f3201559f7eec290d054a07eabdd22db6b0937e1c843b7345a723f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 50c | 2,017$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,983$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 1,186$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.47 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 591.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 34c | 566.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 288.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 46c | 219.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 47c | 214.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed No | 56c | 198.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 46c | 180.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 166.18$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 54c | 149.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 45c | 139.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 13c | 129$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 52c | 59.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Yes | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…d623backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 48c | 26.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…1b31backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 77c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.