Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aec6318f87033323618342186a4a791e7760cfa3db718bbdc24ed74e19a5fcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 6,223$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.79 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 57c | 3,811$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 1,562$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.25 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Over | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 52c | 526.43$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.55 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 470.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fe…ab9abacked Over | 52c | 455.13$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 54c | 380.43$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 64c | 351.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 322.42$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 64c | 312.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…ae39backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 244.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 56c | 177.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 24c | 174.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8da…9311backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 64c | 146.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 47c | 90.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…3630backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 53c | 65.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 41c | 62.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dee…a553backed Over | 56c | 57.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…5cc1backed Over | 64c | 56.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 44c | 52.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…813dbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 64c | 44.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 55c | 38.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 32.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…9f48backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…2003backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Over | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 66c | 18.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…1148backed Over | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd1…8deebacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.