TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes73c40,000$29,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No27c21,207$5,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,633.198027.5%22 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c11,954$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.633,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c11,239$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.978545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked Yes73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No29c9,645$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.992552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No27c9,056$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.113951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No32c8,135$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.6752243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes71c6,126$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.4310360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes79c4,111$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.281872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes69c3,165$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.312166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No21c2,521$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes72c2,006$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.56540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes71c1,800$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes72c1,399$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.721957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No29c1,315$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6370239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No28c1,240$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7533847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes59c906.78$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.782839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…e0e1backed Yes58c867.88$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes59c845.14$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.516637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No30c820$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.93828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No27c733.37$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3413327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9710757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes72c677$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.619934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No32c652.06$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No29c399.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.999852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes69c359.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes73c347.67$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.37550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No28c333.89$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.498456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes72c314$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9214740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes60c281.07$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes61c272.13$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes71c254.4$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No22c250$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No11c235.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No27c225$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.258345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No35c221.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.89037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes70c201.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4311536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+59.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes71c199.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.998345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes69c197.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.311644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c193.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.142,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes70c178.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.571844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes59c172.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59d…dad4backed Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c143.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Yes71c140.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.074548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes61c139.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.344052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.592669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No36c107.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.565240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed No30c103.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes73c101.51$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.83464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes59c100.52$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.662941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275030%15 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fd4…6ebcbacked No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No30c92.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes72c91.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7615459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No22c85.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No28c72.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.362540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf517…2c9fbacked Yes72c71.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70dd…db6cbacked Yes73c68.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes64c62.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.653551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed No32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.542231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No27c60.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2720050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked Yes71c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.241675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed No28c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.452035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202015%3 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes71c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.295060%30 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes72c51.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.375100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfac5…6fb4backed Yes72c47.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc906…fe7abacked Yes71c38.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb45…a670backed No31c38.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No28c38.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.785536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes61c33.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a7…1a98backed Yes72c33.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.