Fifa International · resolved market
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3275e6ef4308e008ac60b1beee8748a3377880e6ebdbbed66105c2b7fe26f60f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 72c | 16,968$12,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.15 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…ffcbbacked Yes | 30c | 13,175$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…182dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,770$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 29c | 10,300$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6138backed Yes | 0c | 10,020$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 71c | 8,850$6,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.46 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 29c | 8,353$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 71c | 8,293$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.8 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 6,644$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.77 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 70c | 4,608$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.54 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 28c | 4,464$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…cd14backed No | 71c | 3,555$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 72c | 2,414$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.78 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 71c | 1,876$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,849$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…4fc4backed Yes | 26c | 1,664$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.58 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 1,079$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 72c | 1,050$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.97 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 72c | 1,004$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.79 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 18c | 999.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 28c | 913.34$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.74 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 71c | 848.92$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…0d5dbacked Yes | 27c | 847.6$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 24c | 844.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…c27dbacked No | 72c | 772.5$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Yes | 29c | 754.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Yes | 25c | 731.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…dca1backed Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 25c | 685.01$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707d…c5afbacked Yes | 19c | 674.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 28c | 573.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 71c | 561.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…e5bcbacked No | 73c | 555.93$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 499.66$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 71c | 475$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 28c | 451$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed No | 73c | 395.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 70c | 389.97$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed No | 72c | 373.97$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…e6b2backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…bf45backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed No | 71c | 355.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 72c | 349.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…0ab3backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…e7febacked No | 77c | 343.59$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 339.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…2515backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 29c | 266.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 28c | 255.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…0487backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…cfa8backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 216.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f35…7637backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed No | 71c | 199.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 71c | 195$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…bb16backed Yes | 29c | 189$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…0e48backed Yes | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…9d82backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 177.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…95d3backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…d227backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +291%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…f52cbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 30c | 163.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 152.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 72c | 149.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…2a26backed Yes | 10c | 144.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…412ebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 139.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…01a4backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 74c | 137.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 1+ shotsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Daniel Muñoz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Davinson Sánchez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Davinson Sánchez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Djibril Sow: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Fabian Rieder: 1+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ shotsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gustavo Puerta: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gustavo Puerta: 1+ shotsYes won
- Gustavo Puerta: 2+ shotsYes won
- Gustavo Puerta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 3+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jefferson Lerma: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jefferson Lerma: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jefferson Lerma: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jhon Arias: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Jhon Arias: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Juan Fernando Quintero: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.