TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Luis Díaz: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x97cb…c910backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305215.4%8 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No72c16,968$12,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,751.1515950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac57…ffcbbacked Yes30c13,175$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c76…182dbacked Yes0c10,770$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes29c10,300$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,98710734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2691…6138backed Yes0c10,020$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No71c8,850$6,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,586.4632765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes29c8,353$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No71c8,293$5,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.846464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c6,644$5,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.774,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No70c4,608$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.5413163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes28c4,464$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2509549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6716260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc902…cd14backed No71c3,555$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No72c2,414$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.788652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No71c1,876$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.970750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes27c1,849$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Yes26c1,664$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.582623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes28c1,400$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39211354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No71c1,300$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37730214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c1,079$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.842,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No72c1,050$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9714860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed No72c1,004$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.798264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes18c999.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes28c913.34$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7423240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No71c848.92$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8125454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9428…0d5dbacked Yes27c847.6$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.113259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes24c844.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe14…c27dbacked No72c772.5$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.52777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Yes29c754.14$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.710911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed Yes25c731.48$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d34…dca1backed Yes29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes25c685.01$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.71,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x707d…c5afbacked Yes19c674.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes28c573.28$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7923251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No71c561.99$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9839951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0e…e5bcbacked No73c555.93$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.664465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016943.8%74 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14512875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No72c499.66$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.032,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No71c475$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.751,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes28c451$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.593,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes14c399.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1c…6016backed No73c395.24$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.225766.7%38 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No70c389.97$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9931171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd252…4058backed No72c373.97$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.716767.2%45 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fcd…bf45backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f24…3a09backed No71c355.66$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.143473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No72c349.95$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.995962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013141.2%54 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7881…0ab3backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf83a…e7febacked No77c343.59$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.357468.9%51 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c339.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.081,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004812.5%6 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f8…2515backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50316.5%2 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1862…36bcbacked Yes29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes29c266.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1915321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes28c255.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5447049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x482d…0487backed Yes27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cec…cfa8backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.485026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c216.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f35…7637backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No71c199.96$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.996570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No71c195$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9f…bb16backed Yes29c189$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.813531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505437%20 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Yes30c183.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512654%68 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…9d82backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No72c177.45$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.061,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509942.4%42 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012236.1%44 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1927…d227backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503429.4%10 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+291%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce3e…f52cbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes30c163.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No77c152.55$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.612,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No72c149.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40b3…6237backed Yes29c148.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65a6…2a26backed Yes10c144.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c33…412ebacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes25c139.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…01a4backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404922.4%11 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1406…b512backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No74c137.91$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.861,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.