TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

James Rodríguez: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,477 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabea…56e9backed Yes0c12,000$12 inLost-$12306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid+71.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes15c1,100$165 inLost-$1652218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost-$10019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1098…a2febacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost-$1004233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes11c701.98$80 inLost-$80.114116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost-$10016341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd0…4111backed Yes14c544.79$76 inLost-$76.271136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+510.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x482d…0487backed Yes14c471.41$66 inLost-$663735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…9d8fbacked Yes12c252.86$30 inLost-$305619.6%11 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x625a…2dd5backed Yes14c249.99$35 inLost-$353318.2%6 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes11c223.62$25 inLost-$2529138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost-$3014720.4%30 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost-$2512532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c144.65$20 inLost-$20.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost-$2012236.1%44 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost-$1533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes17c102.84$17 inLost-$1714842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes14c100$14 inLost-$1416629.5%49 W · 117 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes15c80$12 inLost-$1217738.4%68 W · 109 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…788abacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$106245.2%28 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.