TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,269 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f2f…0e78backed Yes10c500$50 inLost-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625a…2dd5backed Yes7c499.99$34 inLost-$343318.2%6 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…e47fbacked Yes11c453.07$50 inLost-$505232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes8c381.25$30 inLost-$3011717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6237backed Yes10c350$35 inLost-$354738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5130…0187backed Yes9c339.56$31 inLost-$30.563633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes7c298.51$20 inLost-$2025437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes10c250$25 inLost-$2543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes10c250$25 inLost-$2512532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$207514.7%11 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes10c220$22 inLost-$2227744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes10c210$21 inLost-$2146743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$2037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes9c199.44$18 inLost-$18.499436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd76…bfe6backed Yes6c178$11 inLost-$10.6880%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost-$1566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes9c166.67$15 inLost-$1529138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes10c157$16 inLost-$15.734751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes10c120$12 inLost-$1216839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed79…1e49backed Yes10c120$12 inLost-$126434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes10c110$11 inLost-$1116535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc547…61cebacked Yes10c100$10 inLost-$101926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1025841.1%106 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.