TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,857 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba22…0c14backed Yes8c3,846$300 inLost-$3001968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+91.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes7c3,028$200 inLost-$20027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes7c2,985$200 inLost-$2004812.5%6 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes6c1,754$100 inLost-$10034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes7c1,493$100 inLost-$10011325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcc…c57dbacked Yes7c1,409$94 inLost-$94.2570%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1406…b512backed Yes6c725.71$44 inLost-$44.135933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes7c671.64$45 inLost-$4516341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes7c499.99$33 inLost-$3314116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Yes5c425.53$20 inLost-$2016739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes7c417.91$28 inLost-$2822919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes6c357.14$20 inLost-$2019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d34…dca1backed Yes7c350$23 inLost-$23.452917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes6c340.14$20 inLost-$2028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked Yes7c303.03$20 inLost-$203627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a2…b189backed Yes5c300$15 inLost-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes7c300$20 inLost-$20.114427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes7c298.51$20 inLost-$2030321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe680…ce30backed Yes8c255.85$19 inLost-$19.38333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf855…d955backed Yes7c224.63$15 inLost-$15.0510260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes8c217.95$17 inLost-$177529.3%22 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes7c208.96$14 inLost-$148021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes8c204.76$17 inLost-$16.791,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$102227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a4…5b01backed Yes9c190$17 inLost-$16.651216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+144.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.