TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Breel Embolo: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,349 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb010…3c99backed Yes58c684.56$400 inLost-$4003658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No46c499.97$230 inWon+$269.9816260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No40c299.99$120 inWon+$179.991,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost-$12026836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost-$10014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No41c108.44$44 inWon+$64.4177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes54c100$54 inLost-$546033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed No39c94.9$37 inWon+$57.896160.7%37 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No42c81.48$34 inWon+$47.5843460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No39c64.75$25 inWon+$39.520553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed No50c61.63$31 inWon+$30.823158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes50c61.63$31 inLost-$30.827353.4%39 W · 34 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed No41c48.79$20 inWon+$28.793154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…1d08backed Yes60c33.58$20 inLost-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked No40c25$10 inWon+$1545254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.