TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Luis Díaz: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,179 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c76…182dbacked Yes0c5,532$13 inLost-$12.71915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes20c1,978$400 inLost-$40027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Yes20c1,538$300 inLost-$30010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes17c1,341$228 inLost-$228.0146223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes19c1,021$194 inLost-$194.069745.4%44 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Yes18c549.77$100 inLost-$1003613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c398.8$73 inLost-$72.81,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No79c395.66$313 inWon+$83.0931171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c269.67$49 inLost-$48.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No79c167.54$132 inWon+$35.172,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes39c128.68$50 inLost-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$2023951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No78c108.34$84 inWon+$23.882,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c33…412ebacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Yes20c100$20 inLost-$204540%18 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7475…74bbbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost-$201915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes21c94.27$20 inLost-$208021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92e…b1b3backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost-$151838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No80c71.61$57 inWon+$14.482,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$108326.5%22 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3607…c08bbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1017528%49 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No80c20$16 inWon+$46671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No79c15$12 inWon+$3.151,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.