TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Luis Díaz: 4+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,404 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes37c1,613$601 inLost-$600.5621051%107 W · 103 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No61c1,173$718 inWon+$454.881,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No63c967.73$610 inWon+$358.0637350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes41c350$144 inLost-$143.523251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f5…c2e5backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost-$252128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2186…271bbacked Yes37c59.46$22 inLost-$226841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ec…1a4bbacked No66c56$37 inWon+$19.046366.7%42 W · 21 L+12.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa882…e517backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost-$1516442.1%69 W · 95 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bd…0328backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost-$153458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No57c34.99$20 inWon+$152,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No61c34.43$21 inWon+$13.439858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No59c32$19 inWon+$13.123,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes43c25.58$11 inLost-$117058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No57c25.23$14 inWon+$10.856162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.