Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd77fc7ac33c7c4f90612a498f8d12c6c38c9088385ccd1fea17acff38096c7a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 19c | 20,000$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 20c | 11,993$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 80c | 7,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 80c | 2,940$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.1 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…2f0bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,800$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 80c | 2,605$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 19c | 1,029$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 800.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 21c | 587.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 80c | 555$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 21c | 489$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 20c | 410.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 401.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 19c | 395.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 286.49$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 75c | 274$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…05bfbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 76c | 145.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 79c | 132.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 79cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 22c | 122.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 19c | 120.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 79c | 112.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…c44ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 22c | 88.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…fd64backed Yes | 21c | 71.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…efe0backed Yes | 21c | 47.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…b641backed No | 80c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d03fbacked No | 80c | 21.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…0b8cbacked No | 80c | 19.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…e637backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.