Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e6ecb0fc7030184bd9c92977d0bc96f98ea2f2c1d029a62f7e2163b2d1cce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 4,682$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 73c | 2,334$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 29c | 2,067$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.51 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,050$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,712$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.11 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 2c | 1,015$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 946.43$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 678.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 23c | 663.16$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 638.62$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 71c | 599.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 27c | 403$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 363.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 28c | 359.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 73c | 349.32$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 27c | 273$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 74c | 117.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 28c | 108.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 71c | 82.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 74c | 79.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 72c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will SK Brann vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.