Champions League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0444748245f43cfe5beab77385e181d9b511357b36e464ab638df422dea9fc55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 23,940$12,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250.28 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8445…832ebacked Over | 52c | 6,808$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 37c | 2,714$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Over | 40c | 1,999$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.25 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,795$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.22 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 1,461$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.3 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 1,229$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.59 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 56c | 1,127$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.76 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed Under | 50c | 1,107$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 58c | 1,039$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.21 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e1…f4f9backed Over | 54c | 1,029$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 948.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 890.1$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 46c | 760.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.04 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 43c | 755$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.65 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 51c | 751.41$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.17 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 45c | 680$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 47c | 636.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…fe89backed Over | 52c | 596.15$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 52c | 596.15$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…5f8cbacked Under | 48c | 570$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…dc2bbacked Over | 52c | 568.83$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 55c | 555.56$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 54c | 527.78$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 484.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.73 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 44c | 454.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 49c | 447.58$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.36 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 428.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 47c | 372.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.97 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…3badbacked Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 55c | 327.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Over | 52c | 290.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 269.74$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…20a7backed Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Over | 43c | 155$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 54c | 136.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 52c | 123.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed Under | 58c | 111.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 47c | 108.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 49c | 87.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 53c | 73.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 49c | 61.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 45c | 55.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Under | 58c | 53.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Under | 68c | 50.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e8…7a9ebacked Over | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…50f0backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…8bbdbacked Under | 74c | 37.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…9283backed Under | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Under | 59c | 34.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Over | 51c | 33.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 49c | 25.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.