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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No62c19,273$11,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,333.731,93345.3%876 W · 1,057 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No64c15,513$9,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,578.9621560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes38c9,787$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.9611355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1808…eabebacked Yes36c9,079$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0c…306bbacked No64c8,835$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c5,268$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.951,42640.8%582 W · 844 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes39c2,670$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes39c2,575$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008734.5%30 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No62c2,554$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.2213050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes36c2,248$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes37c2,174$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.92634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes39c2,127$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes37c1,870$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69214654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes40c1,393$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No50c953.1$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.552360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes50c939.1$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.551747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No61c922.12$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6319055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes37c890.14$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes60c870$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.12425%6 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Yes37c834.86$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.681346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.256349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes37c724$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2823153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c681.48$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0627046.3%125 W · 145 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes36c582.67$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No63c566.45$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.215554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes35c499.05$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7612050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9de…96d8backed No66c492.42$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes15c466.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes37c461.01$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes37c459.46$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes40c401.08$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.43887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+149.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes37c365.33$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.546842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No60c347.5$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1397529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes37c326.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.12755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes38c320.92$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.952343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No59c295.5$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.183145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203030%9 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes38c290.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.223557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes38c273$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes38c271.05$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb29c…8f19backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes38c249$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc426…b670backed Yes40c243.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd750…494dbacked Yes36c222.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes38c210$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No64c193.09$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.966743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No62c185$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4511644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes37c182.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.95825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No67c181.82$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes38c151.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes36c139.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235a…b3b8backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes37c129.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Yes38c125$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes36c115.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.492254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes35c113.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…5db1backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53a…54c5backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes39c99.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes37c99.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d50…5302backed Yes38c97.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86d…f629backed Yes36c95.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x555e…6bb8backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes37c72.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b6…df1bbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0cb…378abacked Yes36c66.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288e…9ca7backed Yes33c66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed Yes38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa916…59a5backed Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb1…6240backed Yes38c65.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58a4…5e75backed Yes36c55.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba20…4d1bbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf75…f10fbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.