Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x119dedde0a3577683d850d8e11dd205af2ebc5ae83895e93536734e886bb7856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 65c | 19,898$12,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,933.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 64c | 3,919$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.58 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 3,775$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.01 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 2,360$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 65c | 947.75$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.7 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 64c | 683.81$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.25 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Yes | 36c | 565.71$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 66c | 561$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 35c | 499$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.35 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 33c | 460.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…96d8backed Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 69c | 364.25$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 361.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.61 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 64c | 326.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 76c | 306.67$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 66c | 265$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 256$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed No | 66c | 215.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 65c | 185$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 34c | 134.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 38c | 132.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 36c | 129$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…8ab3backed Yes | 78c | 116.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9341…0fa0backed Yes | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 33c | 103$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 86.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 81.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6bb8backed Yes | 36c | 80.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed No | 66c | 74.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 34c | 69.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…2719backed No | 66c | 69.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 36c | 67.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2692backed Yes | 37c | 66.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…ddaabacked Yes | 77c | 59.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe540…f9dfbacked No | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.