La Liga · resolved market
Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe332d86b3c08027b56f3ac577b3b41e8fd3a4adcfaa56438afe71ba5b46fb736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 57c | 878$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.07 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 835.5$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.79 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 54c | 649.17$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.55 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 640.93$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 47c | 577$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.55 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 56c | 540.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 56c | 540.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 43c | 513.77$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.85 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 44c | 443.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 363.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 54c | 309$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 55c | 193.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 56c | 178.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 45c | 148.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 56c | 89.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 22c | 57.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…0fcdbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…aab7backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…ecaebacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Celta Vigo (-1.5)Espanyol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.