La Liga · resolved market
Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b9db9b3d84eb0efe1f538d00b7d1180e6fc48a5bbdf9358814ce5e4542a7fc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 13c | 23,300$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 32c | 4,100$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 3,710$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.88 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 19c | 3,431$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.19 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,882$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.35 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 938.37$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.64 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 414.16$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 327.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 49c | 300.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.04 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Over | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 126.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…ded9backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Over | 50c | 24.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 72c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 2.5this page
- Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Celta Vigo (-1.5)Espanyol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.