TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc551…5fd7backed No50c13,425$6,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,712.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…ed65backed Yes50c13,425$6,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,712.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No52c11,865$6,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,169.551947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c10,320$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.623,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No55c5,882$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No54c5,610$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.347447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No48c2,998$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.0719153.9%103 W · 88 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No52c2,216$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.7323046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c1,887$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.52,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes45c1,680$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.8114157.4%81 W · 60 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes48c1,371$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.813438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes49c1,327$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes47c1,302$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.851850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No43c1,278$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.433234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes67c1,106$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.792737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507423%17 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No51c937.78$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2714846.6%69 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes47c930.89$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.379552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes46c923.26$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.5615742%66 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No55c916.08$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes47c897.03$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.741936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No12c881.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7823842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes49c865.31$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.312650%13 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No52c827.33$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.624252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No51c786.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.152661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes66c755.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6618840.4%76 W · 112 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No52c745.97$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.915444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes48c619.31$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.041040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.244753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No2c581.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No48c324.92$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8651136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0148…daf8backed Yes48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.22548%12 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Yes48c309.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes49c306.61$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.618846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1534443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked No52c299.97$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No51c289.29$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5423745.6%108 W · 129 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes48c257.42$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.862360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No53c235.35$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7411036.4%40 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes47c225$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No52c205.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.827052.9%37 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7101…cf3dbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes46c185.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.39951.5%51 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes48c183$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.166451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a5…242dbacked Yes72c176.93$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+64%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes47c157.22$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4334342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes46c156.52$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.524020%8 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes49c132.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6511250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No51c130.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.084942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No52c124.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9910942.2%46 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes47c111$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8314364.3%92 W · 51 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37db…a01fbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x554c…7156backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8d…1425backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+166.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c102$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0833945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked No51c92.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.02977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No19c90.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f57…0319backed Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.632450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes49c79.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689d…9b52backed Yes49c79.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+85.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes49c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.49062.2%56 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.233458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No32c66.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.224650%23 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No53c66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.748250%41 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes49c62.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.832544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2341…618fbacked Yes49c62.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ec…0c17backed Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+49%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes46c60.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.874376.7%33 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5e2…4429backed Yes49c60.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No48c55.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4676234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes49c54.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes49c53.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.347545.3%34 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.083652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb1…6240backed Yes49c51.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.023070%21 W · 9 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+50.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e5…bff4backed Yes46c47.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dee…efa6backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2082…c686backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe758…5eb1backed Yes45c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.