Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a0243b288bc2e2625424aafdc25c2a3e37dc129c0cb4bdc042b7e290a6efaf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Heroic, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Heroic | 44c | 25,316$11,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,072.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 56c | 10,275$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.07 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…63c8backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,464$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 3,464$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.21 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 3,197$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.36 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heroic | 33c | 2,855$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.69 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 2,682$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.73 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,736$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.71 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 43c | 1,578$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.5 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,552$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.17 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heroic | 42c | 1,361$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.25 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…cfbabacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,297$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 1,180$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.9 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…0975backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,152$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid | 70c | 1,121$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,005$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.95 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Heroic | 50c | 890$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 44c | 793.88$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.31 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Team Liquid | 56c | 792.86$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 779.93$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.26 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 710$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…d34cbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 698.1$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Heroic | 24c | 643.91$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Heroic | 6c | 628.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 51c | 555$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid | 61c | 530.11$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.42 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid | 69c | 518.42$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…a10cbacked Heroic | 33c | 492.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Heroic | 47c | 422.34$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Heroic | 34c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Heroic | 45c | 396.39$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Heroic | 48c | 311.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Team Liquid | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 37c | 290.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Liquid | 57c | 243.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…7082backed Heroic | 33c | 209.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 63c | 206.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 28c | 204.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…3d7dbacked Heroic | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…3cc4backed Heroic | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2166…72fcbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 183.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Team Liquid | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 170.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…e60abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 166.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…b150backed Team Liquid | 60c | 166.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…3e80backed Team Liquid | 75c | 161.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Heroic | 44c | 153.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Heroic | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…7eabbacked Heroic | 45c | 144.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed Heroic | 28c | 141.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…c1a4backed Heroic | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 107.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…30f0backed Heroic | 37c | 107.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 104.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…b538backed Heroic | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…59a5backed Team Liquid | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Heroic | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Heroic | 46c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb91…8700backed Team Liquid | 57c | 76.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Liquid | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Team Liquid | 68c | 74.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…7b0cbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…a8e9backed Team Liquid | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8a…7d24backed Team Liquid | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Heroic | 50c | 50.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Heroic | 47c | 50.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Heroic | 41c | 45.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heroic | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…94d4backed Heroic | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Heroic | 47c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Team Liquid | 69c | 37.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…6632backed Heroic | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…72d2backed Team Liquid | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.