Europa Conference League · resolved market
AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df09ec0db723d88b2408b4c8647e8beba3d5bd66ac1f0d08cfd3fee7b52832f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,183$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 918.41$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.41 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 46c | 443.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 54c | 368.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 55c | 361.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed No | 60c | 319.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed Yes | 55c | 308$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 55c | 286.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 235.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 222.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 54c | 185.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 56c | 179.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 150.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 44c | 136.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 109.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 54c | 100.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed Yes | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 46c | 57.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 55c | 56.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 53c | 51.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Yes | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.