Europa Conference League · resolved market
AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4035e61d1170a49e3da9af0776f23948845f1c46db0d927a590bc4e87955e89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,718$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 2,703$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.74 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Over | 56c | 677.7$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…35d7backed Over | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 42c | 540.55$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…8380backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Over | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 60c | 466.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 56c | 455.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Over | 59c | 336.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 288.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 56c | 267$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 56c | 179.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 59c | 170.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 59c | 124.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 18c | 106$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Over | 56c | 100.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 57c | 99.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 44c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 58c | 67.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 55c | 54.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…3c19backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 56c | 39.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 57c | 37.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 41c | 37.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 56c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…d077backed Over | 59c | 25.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…d189backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 50c | 24.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 59c | 18.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Over | 56c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.