Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc015795691e1a162e1b729960c85346387ad1a7c09338acd51790b7e98e01d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 60,798$15,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,379.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Yes | 70c | 52,741$36,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,822.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…0a31backed No | 0c | 17,886$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 17c | 11,973$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.89 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 76c | 9,222$7,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 8,752$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.63 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 44c | 7,770$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 5,898$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.58 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 30c | 5,583$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.92 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 5,441$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.18 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 2,513$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.11 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 24c | 2,490$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.76 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 53c | 2,477$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.63 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,430$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 1,683$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.34 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes | 47c | 1,509$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 49c | 1,508$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 71c | 1,481$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.31 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 714.59$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.85 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 51c | 711.16$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.69 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 612.18$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.43 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 50c | 607$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.5 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 48c | 600$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked No | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 47c | 528.82$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.27 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 15c | 515.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 50c | 500.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 52c | 415$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 53c | 393$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed No | 53c | 380.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 349.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 53c | 333.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2e6cbacked Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 47c | 326.08$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 50c | 311.83$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…d24cbacked Yes | 47c | 272.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 79c | 269.36$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 48c | 266.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 219.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 49c | 204.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 181.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked No | 55c | 167.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 50c | 162.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 51c | 144$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 22c | 137.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…503fbacked No | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 51c | 118.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…82e5backed Yes | 46c | 108.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…0731backed Yes | 49c | 102.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…ab4abacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 20c | 65.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 47c | 65.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…5952backed Yes | 48c | 64.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…99c8backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 27c | 59.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed Yes | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.