Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d004dfa642e4293253a44de4018e02b3fb2057744f36e828f44ff4d19a4344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 5,019$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.11 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 2,050$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 18c | 1,990$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.27 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 16c | 1,869$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 1,502$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,035$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…0a24backed Yes | 15c | 864.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 17c | 791.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 17c | 758.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 17c | 729.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 701.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 16c | 699.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 652.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…ab4ebacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 500.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…2a02backed Yes | 18c | 435.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 18c | 369$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 17c | 349.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…37dabacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked Yes | 18c | 226.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 16c | 220.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…3b0fbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 12c | 189.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 12c | 180.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…ed93backed Yes | 19c | 178.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 18c | 174.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…9977backed Yes | 19c | 159.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1a98backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Yes | 14c | 146.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…d108backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…6fb4backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Yes | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…04b3backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 16c | 79.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 17c | 64.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…1b8fbacked Yes | 18c | 61.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 43c | 38.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…0de4backed Yes | 57c | 32.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.