Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc67420ec433b41917b1f214f666b453489d1ef8eab622e42eedab703e03926e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 6,861$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.55 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 61c | 4,926$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.9 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,484$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 76c | 3,041$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.22 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,381$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.26 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 47c | 1,938$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 1,535$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.47 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 57c | 1,500$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.73 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 79c | 987.34$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 760.14$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 607.63$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…b218backed Yes | 79c | 594.53$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 66c | 420$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 78c | 276$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 79c | 221.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 49c | 164$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8da…9311backed Yes | 22c | 134.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…856abacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 40c | 119.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Yes | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 77c | 108.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 108.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 23c | 104.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c6…e200backed Yes | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…f0bcbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 34c | 32.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 69c | 31.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Yes | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 41c | 25.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…934fbacked Yes | 71c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 75cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.