Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mali win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32745a9288ece8a432bf8ee3d1d7f1a2c4f33e94fd33e396d04d272edc301bfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 5,596$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.29 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 2,385$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 1,842$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.58 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,488$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.1 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0191…93f0backed Yes | 37c | 1,338$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 34c | 1,179$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 28c | 1,066$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 58c | 1,027$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.34 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes | 39c | 653.08$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8b…b3c3backed Yes | 35c | 633.58$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 53c | 481.55$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 42c | 440.48$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 36c | 440.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 37c | 397$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 365$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 28c | 354.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 37c | 270.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 61c | 257.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 251.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 40c | 184$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…9998backed Yes | 28c | 174.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Yes | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 98.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…d108backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…35febacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…6adcbacked Yes | 48c | 50.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 38c | 40.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 37c | 32.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 30.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…e5a3backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 42c | 24.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mali win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Jordan vs. Mali end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jordan win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.