Fifa International · resolved market
Will Jordan win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84e83888581246a871acdf8b2140ba04593737426991e70ddbdc9bcc5997e7a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 1,536$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 19c | 998.78$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…2935backed Yes | 11c | 461$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 349.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Yes | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 321.43$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 16c | 311.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 18c | 276.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 209$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 21c | 196.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 179.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 75c | 145$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…35febacked Yes | 17c | 136.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 135.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 113.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…4183backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed No | 76c | 92.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 19c | 56.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Yes | 21c | 48.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Jordan vs. Mali end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mali win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.