Fifa International · resolved market
Will Jordan vs. Mali end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39fd77d0fc5381a7b6fea7ac6b61ba45f4a71bdafc184d2f97b0b47a49579e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 1,673$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.29 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 55c | 726.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6748backed Yes | 75c | 597.12$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 27c | 472.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 67c | 312.42$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 302$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 72c | 207.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 69c | 189$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 97.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 31c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…e977backed Yes | 58c | 67.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Yes | 31c | 61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 34c | 57.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Yes | 31c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan vs. Mali end in a draw?this page
- Will Jordan win on 2025-11-18?No won
- Will Mali win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.