Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ace644e35e60025cdf2e571dd7056b75e56129cd2965b4518b76ab2196e2f1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aa8…debfbacked Yes | 17c | 5,198$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 3,569$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.87 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,081$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 13c | 1,451$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Yes | 5c | 800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…37dabacked Yes | 13c | 753.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 16c | 747.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 17c | 600.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 558.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…e905backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 499.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…d3f4backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…2ababacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 14c | 279.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…ca89backed Yes | 15c | 249.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e0c6backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…ed93backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 15c | 154.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…6fb4backed Yes | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5f…5c45backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…04b3backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…d108backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…8e8dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1a98backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…3d04backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 13c | 92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 14c | 83.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 14c | 81.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…1b8fbacked Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 16c | 63.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?No won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.