Fifa International · resolved market
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3fb9582db6ace161e76e6a3c333f4d97c5e161e5aec3cc02cb63b09e70d0366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 3,254$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.39 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Yes | 57c | 2,900$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 36c | 1,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 65c | 1,076$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,046$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.79 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 44c | 656.62$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 17c | 391.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 35c | 282$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 62c | 195$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 68c | 193.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 29c | 149.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 40c | 136.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 73c | 93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 53c | 67.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 40c | 54.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…8f27backed Yes | 63c | 51.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…ed93backed Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…9977backed Yes | 67c | 47.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…d108backed Yes | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 59c | 42.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…99c8backed Yes | 74c | 40.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…1803backed Yes | 75c | 31.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…8e8dbacked Yes | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4e…0fd9backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Benin win on 2025-11-18?No won
- Will Burkina Faso vs. Benin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.