Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20fa6eb1f1ba7f86d84e7708e8c116182be5c001b5762e6b02209e1e7c1b735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 70,000$41,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,250 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 52c | 43,145$22,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,363.99 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 29c | 34,160$9,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,906.29 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 48c | 13,554$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,053.83 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,124$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.99 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 1,176$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 71c | 956$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.77 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 858.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 69c | 810.7$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.52 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 63c | 795$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 31c | 719.11$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 46c | 649.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 557.22$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.19 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 71c | 495.04$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 35c | 415.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 373.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 365.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 42c | 321.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.24 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 267.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 246.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 56c | 243.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a72…4693backed Yes | 45c | 178$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 29c | 166.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 31c | 148.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 30c | 143.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…1007backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…d47ebacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 42c | 119.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 29c | 104.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 64c | 93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 29c | 90.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 60c | 83.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…e89ebacked Yes | 72c | 73.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Yes | 69c | 72.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked Yes | 71c | 70.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 28c | 56.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…8375backed Yes | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…5fbdbacked Yes | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…8ab6backed Yes | 71c | 49.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…f23fbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc425…6268backed Yes | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…e995backed Yes | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…86e1backed Yes | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…d108backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…7aa1backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 29c | 39.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 70c | 35.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…aaa3backed Yes | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…3321backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…ffb5backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…3ad1backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…a316backed Yes | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…fd87backed Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…5ae7backed Yes | 70c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…b51bbacked Yes | 71c | 15.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked Yes | 69c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Australia win on 2025-11-18?No won
- Will Colombia vs. Australia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.