Fifa International · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6705a1a038eb627704cb91ced0f4c369eab5bb37ba5658f1bbf284c2606d772d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 6,305$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 6,172$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.01 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 28c | 2,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.09 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 1,093$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 885.34$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.38 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…4176backed Yes | 28c | 681.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 480.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 74c | 389.19$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 7c | 364.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 26c | 276.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 30c | 259.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 71c | 254.37$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 244.04$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 72c | 229$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes | 27c | 183.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 28c | 175.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…3c5fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 152.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…1b00backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 99.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 27c | 92.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…3296backed Yes | 27c | 72.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 28c | 70.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…f031backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Yes | 29c | 46.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…bbccbacked Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…e092backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 26c | 40.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 28c | 37.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…5931backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 77c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Algeria win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Algeria end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.