Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Inter (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7840dc5d9ccadefaece5b8e324dbe9df81a50ed4121b2fd5fda2aa44ee6a58b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Interof Inter, Lazio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lazio | 51c | 13,324$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,775.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Inter | 49c | 13,274$6,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,773.07 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Inter | 64c | 550$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lazio | 39c | 338.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Inter | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lazio | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Inter | 49c | 172.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Inter | 49c | 157.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lazio | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Lazio | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Lazio | 42c | 118.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Inter | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Lazio | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Inter | 48c | 83.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…e3e8backed Inter | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Lazio | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Lazio | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Inter | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Lazio | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Inter | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lazio | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…1bdfbacked Lazio | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Inter | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Lazio | 51c | 27.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter (-1.5)this page
- Inter vs. Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Inter vs. Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.