Serie A · resolved market
Inter vs. Lazio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x563c59fa78f6dc980b799e2d56da59eded011b5d03a5d0c02772f423b0307fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 24,227$11,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,791.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 57c | 10,354$5,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,873.36 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Over | 56c | 7,002$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 39c | 6,504$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 44c | 6,115$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.38 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 55c | 4,920$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 58c | 3,999$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 59c | 2,115$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.2 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 41c | 599.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.98 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 477.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 45c | 450.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 44c | 399.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 60c | 389.13$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 45c | 352$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 53c | 350$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 252.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 59c | 190.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 59c | 170.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Over | 59c | 170.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 58c | 129$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 41c | 121.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 101.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 32c | 97.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Over | 58c | 85.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c3…f271backed Over | 58c | 84.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 48c | 79.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 57c | 71.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…9364backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…7a24backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…49aabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 35.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Under | 50c | 22.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter vs. Lazio: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter vs. Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Inter (-1.5)Inter won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.