South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0652cb60845de4b14dda6bff96cda334fbb53cecf0e64cf4cb2b9b3a6ce409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 43c | 19,826$8,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,525.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 41c | 2,309$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.5 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 1,221$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.08 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 1,042$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 529.88$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…5829backed Yes | 56c | 498.12$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 56c | 471$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.24 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 16c | 356.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 61c | 328.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 289.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 181.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 42c | 173$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…988ebacked Yes | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 27c | 170.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…e24cbacked Yes | 62c | 170.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 152.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 40c | 149.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 145.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes | 56c | 144.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked Yes | 57c | 141.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 45c | 127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 44c | 116.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 113.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 57c | 105.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 56c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 32c | 84.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cb…1298backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +144%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 59c | 48.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…ec67backed Yes | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 44c | 43.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Yes | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 59c | 38.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…5b36backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 40c | 36.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…c729backed Yes | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…0897backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…a60ebacked Yes | 56c | 34.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…3ef5backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…4f3abacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…51f3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…cf40backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 43c | 27.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Yes | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Yes | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…7e6cbacked Yes | 59c | 18.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.